Kind of a random title, I know, but I saw an interesting article at New Mandala bringing up this exact question, and it reminded me of some ideas I’d thought about before, mainly in China, but I’ll be considering its application to Thailand a bit in this article.
Basically, for those of you too lazy to read the article, it brings up the idea that it isn’t in a developing countries’ middle classes’ interest to have a full-fledged democracy functioning in the country. Why? Well, because the rural poor (who we’re assuming would have numerical superiority) would vote in their interest and the government’s policies would favor them.
The question is, who knows what’s best for a country, the uneducated masses or the more-informed educated middle class? Does being able to afford a daily newspaper and attending a couple of university classes make you a better authority on what’s good for the country?
Thaksin was one of the kings of populist politics. If there were an election tomorrow in Thailand, I honestly believe he would win. Farmers in Isan don’t forget who gave them that water buffalo that plows their fields every day. He also tried to win over the Bangkok middle class by building the new Suvarnabhumi airport (”The Pride of Thailand”) and numerous mass-transit improvements, but they turned on him and it was only with their support that the military was able to overthrow him. (The old-money rich families, resentful of the ‘new-money’ families, had wanted to overthrow him long before, but couldn’t do it without convincing the middle-class first).
Thaksin’s story is very much like the Tortoise and the Hare fable, where Thaksin (the Hare) got too cocky (aka corrupt and greedy) and fell asleep at the end of the race. Instead of being content with a multi-billion dollar fortune for himself, he tried to create his own dynasty among his friends and supporters, thus alienating the old-rich and creating his first enemies, jealous of his success.
Back to the article mentioned and how it applies to Thailand, if the rural poor were in charge of the country, what would (or should) they do?
Who knows, but here are some of my ideas on what I think would help the country modernize.
#1. (kind-of) Monopolize the distribution of rice. I’m not a big fan of monopolies, but this one would be key. Basically, you’d have to create a law that requires all rice produced by farmers to be bought by the government, who would in turn sell it to processors for distribution. This would allow the government to increase farmers’ income (by simply increasing the price they pay the farmers), basically a subsidy for rice farmers. (also would work for sugar, fruits, etc.)
#2. Flood controls. This one should be kind of obvious, but it basically boils down to corruption. There have been countless public works to try to avoid flooding, which normal people think of as a wet basement, but farmers think of as a year’s income lost, but either they suffer from lack of upkeep or they just don’t happen. Maybe to cut costs a politician would say, “Just make the levy a meter shorter” and pocket the money saved. Flood damages total in the billions of dollars lost for the Thai economy each year, and it would be in everyone’s benefit to see it stopped.
I think Thailand would be better off if it tried these ideas, but obviously #1 will never happen. Still, #2 might and hopefully will.
As for the bombs, no news lately. There have been lots of bomb hoaxes and suspect packages sighted, kind of gives you a sense of everyone’s paranoid state of mind recently. I’ll update with this as soon as I have any info worth reporting.